Turco, Stars snap Capitals' home streak in SO

Hockey Betting Lines

03/08/2010 - Washington, DC (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Loui Eriksson scored in the fifth round of the shootout and Marty Turco stopped a career-high 49 shots as Dallas rallied in the third and ended Washington's 13-game home-winning streak with a 4-3 win at Verizon Center.

In the fifth round after Brendan Morrison was poke-checked before he got a shot off, Eriksson skated in on net, slammed on the brakes right in front and slid the forehand into the net.

Trevor Daley, James Neal and Brad Richards all had third period goals for the Stars, who snapped a three-game losing streak.

Alex Ovechkin scored twice to snap a six-game goal drought while Tom Poti also had a goal for the Capitals, who had not lost at home since a defeat at the hands of Carolina on December 28. Semyon Varlamov stopped 23 shots in the loss.

Despite allowing the two goals, Turco did all he could to keep his team in the game as he made 40 saves through the first two periods, and his team repaid his hard work in the third.

A pair of power plays helped Dallas tie the game as Richards got the team on the board just 1:33 into the frame when his one-timer from the right circle got past Varlamov. Just over three minutes later, Daley's shot thrown on net from the left point got through traffic.

A bit over three minutes after that goal, the Stars took their first lead of the game as Neal's shot from the left circle on the fly fooled Varlamov for his 25th goal of the season.

Ovechkin, though, tied the game with 3:16 to play as he received the puck on the fly along the left wing, made a move to get to the inside and, off one foot, snapped the puck into the right corner.

The Caps got on the board at the 2:51 mark of the first period as a pass from David Steckel at the right boards went to the slot where Poti gathered the puck and wristed it into the left corner.

Washington took a 2-0 lead on the power play with 5:23 to play in the second period as Ovechkin's simple wrister at the top of the right circle found the back of the net.

Game Notes

Washington set a club record in shots over two periods with 42...Washington hosts Carolina on Wednesday...The Stars wrap up their three-game road trip in Buffalo on Wednesday...Washington had won the previous two against Dallas.

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Sportsbooks to bet on football

Recently I had an email debate with an angry reader who said I did not understand "the science of oddsmaking", as he called it.

He said I was wrong for suggesting oddsmakers care about who wins or loses games.

"Oddsmakers only care about splitting the betting public 50/50 on both sides of the line and keeping the commission (a.k.a. juice)," he wrote.

He might have been right about not understanding "the science of oddsmaking". After all, I'm not an oddsmaker. That said, I stick to my assertion that oddsmakers (a.k.a. sportbooks) often do care about who wins games.

Granted, as a general rule, sportsbooks try to balance their action so that they're not exposed to big losses. However, there are times when this is difficult to pull off, regardless of how much a line has moved. There are also times when that general rule is ignored and a book pursues risk.

Generally speaking, it's safe to say the books in Vegas are risk-adverse. Unlike in the past when the wise guys ruled the town, Vegas is now corporate and the goal of most casinos is to make as much money as possible with as little risk as possible.

Thus, Vegas sportsbooks try everything in their power to balance the action. They're satisfied simply collecting the juice. But these profits are small, especially compared to the take from other casino games, namely slot machines.

Because the profits at Vegas sportsbooks are so small, you could argue that many casinos operate sportsbooks simply as a novelty to keep the tourists happy.

With a growing aversion to risk, it should come as no surprise that Vegas bookmakers have been panicking this NFL season.

Despite huge pointspreads, a disproportionate percentage of bettors are still laying their money on favorites like the Eagles, Colts, Pats and Vikings rather than the dogs (a common trend for the largely recreational bettors that visit Vegas).

And much to the dismay of the books, those favorites are finding ways to cover the thick chalk. In fact, prior to Week 7, the four teams listed above are a combined 16-2-2 (88 percent) against the spread. (The tables turned dramatically in Week 7, but more on that later.)

The result has been an early-season beating for the books, and a bonanza for bettors.

While Vegas increasingly hates risk, it's no longer a major player in the sports betting world. Most of the betting action now takes place offshore where sportsbooks are not as obsessed about balance. In fact, some books encourage exposure to risk because the rewards can be so much bigger.

Consider MySportsbook.com. On its website, the book has odds pages which actually display the amount of action it's getting on games. In other words, you can see how much action the book is taking on both sides of a pointspread, moneyline or over/under.

One look at these numbers and it's obvious MySportsbook.com does not balance every game. In fact, far from it.

Take last weekend's matchup between St. Louis and Miami. By game time on Sunday, 83 percent of the betting action at MySportsbook.com was on the Rams; only 17 percent was on Miami.

What's interesting is that MySportsbook.com opened the pointspread with Miami at +6 1/2. By game time, the spread had lowered to +5.

That goes contrary to the balancing theory. If MySportsbook.com had wanted to balance the action, it would have given Miami more points; instead, it took away 1 1/2. World Series odds are now up as well.

MySportsbook.com exposed itself to even more to risk, and rolled the dice on the underdog Dolphins. Why? I contacted a representative with the book to find out. His answer was simple.

"The line moved early based on 'smart money' from sharp players," said Jeff Gilroy, a spokesperson for the book. "We also knew from early in the week that we would need Miami, therefore (we dropped) the spread to encourage Rams money.

"At the end of the day, we liked the home team."

So the conclusion is this: MySportsbook.com respected the sharp action, and gambled that the sharp bettors had a better take on the game than the recreational bettors, who were hammering the visiting Rams.

In the end, the gamble paid off. Miami, desperate for a win in front of its home fans, pounded the overrated Rams, who are terrible on the road and even worse on grass. Final score: 31-14 Fish.

MySportsbook.com was also heavily exposed on numerous favorites in Week 7, including Philadelphia, Seattle and Denver. All three failed to cover.

The fact that sportsbooks are exposed to risk on certain games is really nothing new. The fact, that Sportsbook.com is willing to show the public where it's exposed is intriguing.

Armed with this type of information, bettors can make more educated wagers. They can get an idea where the sharp money is going and conversely where the public money is headed.

MySportsbook.com is opening up its cashbox, letting bettors look inside and challenging them to take their best shot at grabbing the cash.

To visit this online football betting got to MySportsbook.com for all your football betting odds needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.